2026 Congress Odds — Senate & House Predictions

Powered by KalshiAlabama Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Barry Moore, 10-15%·93%(+91%)MI-13 Republican nominee?·Martell D Bivings·1%(-88%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·3%(-88%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·90%(+87%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent·35% - 40%·97%(+87%)KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·1%(-80%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent·60% - 65%·88%(+78%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent·20% - 25%·90%(+76%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·1%(-75%)KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent·45% - 48%·92%(+72%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Sharif Street vote percent·25% - 30%·96%(+68%)GA-01 Democratic nominee?·Joyce Griggs·76%(+66%)Trump-endorsed May primary candidates combo·Julia Letlow: the first round winner of the LA Senate GOP primary, Ed Gallrein: the winner of the KY-04 GOP primary, Burt Jones: the first round winner of the GA Gov GOP primary·82%(+66%)VA-06 Democratic nominee?·Beth Macy·91%(+66%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·At least 45%·70%(+66%)

Powered by KalshiAlabama Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Barry Moore, 10-15%·93%(+91%)MI-13 Republican nominee?·Martell D Bivings·1%(-88%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·3%(-88%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·90%(+87%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent·35% - 40%·97%(+87%)KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·1%(-80%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent·60% - 65%·88%(+78%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent·20% - 25%·90%(+76%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·1%(-75%)KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent·45% - 48%·92%(+72%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Sharif Street vote percent·25% - 30%·96%(+68%)GA-01 Democratic nominee?·Joyce Griggs·76%(+66%)Trump-endorsed May primary candidates combo·Julia Letlow: the first round winner of the LA Senate GOP primary, Ed Gallrein: the winner of the KY-04 GOP primary, Burt Jones: the first round winner of the GA Gov GOP primary·82%(+66%)VA-06 Democratic nominee?·Beth Macy·91%(+66%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·At least 45%·70%(+66%)

DR

49Dem

4 tossup51 to control

Rep47

34

10

3

2

4

1

6

9

31

Held (not up)

Contested 2026