International
Foreign elections, geopolitics, and global markets
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
71%
Before Jan 1, 2029
▲ +2%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
10%
Before January 20, 2029
▼ -5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
22%
Before January 21, 2029
—
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
14%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
—
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Next French presidential election winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
60%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
▼ -16%
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Which party will win the next UK general election?
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
62%
Flávio Bolsonaro
▼ -14%
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Who will the next Pope be?
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
84%
Magdalena Andersson
▲ +4%
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
50%
Lula da Silva, 0-5%
▼ -16%
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
Israeli legislative election winner?
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
Next German federal election winner?
UK snap election announced?
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Vancouver mayoral election winner?
Next President of Kosovo?
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?
Quebec National Assembly election winner?
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
94%
Rafael López Aliaga
▲ +4%
Quebec general election: 2nd place
76%
Quebec Liberal Party
▲ +6%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
Quebec general election: 3rd place
65%
Conservative Party of Québec
—
Taipei mayoral election winner?
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
Will Iran hold a presidential election?
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
Tlaxcala Governor winner?
55%
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera
—
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
95%
Cleitinho Azevedo
▲ +2%
Who will be arrested in 2026?
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?
Argentina presidential election winner?
Amazonas Governor winner?
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
42%
Before Jan 1, 2028
▼ -2%
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ceará gubernatorial election winner?
71%
Elmano de Freitas
▲ +4%
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round)
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
82%
Swedish Social Democratic Party
—
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
Republika Srpska presidential election winner?
Mongolian presidential election winner?
46%
Gombojavyn Zandanshatar
—
São Paulo Governor winner?
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
EU loses a member before 2030?
British Columbia general election: 3rd place
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
Bulgarian presidential election winner?
Lebanese general election winner?
67%
Election Postponed Beyond Expiration
—
Berlin State Election: 4th Place
Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?
Georgian parliamentary election winner?
74%
Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia
—
Who will run for President of Brazil?
5%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
▼ -0.1%
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Latvia parliamentary election winner?
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Scottish independence referendum called?
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Toronto mayoral election winner?
Quebec general election: 4th place
65%
Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)
▲ +8%
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
Next President of Estonia?
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)
Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?
Brazilian Senate election winner?
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Prague mayoral election winner?
Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner?
Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
Quebec general election: PQ number of seats?
British Columbia general election: 2nd place
Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
27%
Before January 1, 2028
—
Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
71%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
▲ +5%
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
Australian House election winner?
48%
Australian Labor Party
—
North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
Turkish presidential election winner?
French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
2028 London mayoral election winner?
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?
61%
Aleksandar Vučić
▼ -10%
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
58%
Christopher Luxon
▲ +2%
Quebec general election: 5th place
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner?
Gambian presidential election winner?
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
Ghana parliamentary election winner?
Ottawa mayoral election winner?
Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats?
Philippine presidential election winner?
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?
Nuevo León Governor winner?
24%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
▲ +1%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Nigerian presidential election winner?
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
Pernambuco Governor winner?
Malaysian general election winner?
36%
BN-anchored coalition
—
Spanish general election winner?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
62%
Before Jan 1, 2027
▲ +5%
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?
Guatemalan Congressional election winner?
41%
National Unity of Hope
—
Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass?
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?
Rio Grande do Sul Governor winner?
88%
Luciano Lorenzini Zucco
▲ +1%
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
Ghana presidential election winner?
When will Canada announce a snap election?
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?
New Taipei mayoral election winner?
Prince George mayoral election winner?
When will Trump and Mamdani meet?
39%
Before Jan 1, 2027
▼ -1%
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
Taiwan presidential election winner?
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
When will Wales call a snap election?
Next Moldovan presidential election winner?
Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?
Kenya Senate election winner?
56%
Coalition including ODM
—
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?
69%
Modern Revolutionary Party
—
Kraków mayoral election winner?
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
When will Serbia call its presidential election?
42%
Before Nov 1, 2026
▼ -6%
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
Turkish general election winner?
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
New Zealand general election winner?
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats Won
Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
Huon Valley mayoral election winner?
Will Trump visit Greenland?
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?
Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?
Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
95%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
—
Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?
Surrey mayoral election winner?
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
14%
Before December 1, 2026
▼ -2%
Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election?
Kelowna mayoral election winner?
Serbian parliamentary election winner?
Greek general election winner?
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
British Columbia general election winner?
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?
When will France announce a snap election?
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
British Columbia election: NDP number of seats?
SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
77%
Benjamin Netanyahu
▼ -9%
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?
Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats?
Mississauga mayoral election winner?
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Saanich mayoral election winner?
Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
96%
Council Tax Replacement
—
Next Serbian presidential election winner?
55%
Student-backed candidate
▼ -7%
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
Victorian state election winner?
52%
Liberals and Nationals
—
Israel Katz departure announced?
Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Cape Verde presidential election winner?
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
Paraguayan Senate election winner?
Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026?
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
Nanaimo mayoral election winner?
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
AfD in a German state government in 2026?
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
Croat member of the Presidency winner?
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
Bosniak member of the Presidency winner?
Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?
Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?
Kenyan National Assembly winner?
96.8%
Coalition including ODM
—
Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election?
Nigerian Senate election winner?
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?
Dominican Republic Senate election winner?
71%
Modern Revolutionary Party
—
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
Poland general election winner?
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?
São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
92%
Guilherme Derrite
▲ +7%
Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Launceston mayoral election winner?
Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal in 2026?
French presidential election: who will advance?
Finnish general election winner?
94%
Social Democratic Party
—
Aguascalientes Governor winner?
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?
Prešov mayoral election winner?
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?
Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
Australian Senate election winner?
69%
Australian Labor Party
—
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
Which leaders will meet before 2027?
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?
When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?
50%
Before Jan 1, 2027
▲ +10%
Santa Catarina Governor election winner?
Philippine Senate election winner?
Will the French United Left primary be canceled?
Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?
Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?
Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner?
When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
Berlin state election: AfD vote share?
Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?
Berlin state election: SPD vote share?
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
Slovakia parliamentary election winner?
46%
Coalition including PS
—
Berlin state election: BSW vote share?
Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
Hamilton mayoral election winner?
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?
Italian Senate election winner?
Taichung mayoral election winner?
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place
Serb member of the Presidency winner?
96%
Zeljka Cvijanovic
▲ +2%
Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Kamloops mayoral election winner?
Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?
Will Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?
Berlin state election: CDU vote share?
Prime Minister of Fiji after the next election?
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?
Next Canadian federal election winner?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
