ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi

2028 presidential odds

Current Kalshi prices for the next U.S. president, Democratic and Republican nominees, and the party favored to win the White House.
Current market leader

J.D. Vance leads the 2028 presidential winner market at 19%. This is a live market estimate, not a poll.

J.D. Vance
19%
Jon Ossoff
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Marco Rubio
8%
Gavin Newsom
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Andy Beshear
3%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Donald J. Trump
3%
Josh Shapiro
3%
James Talarico
2%
Wes Moore
2%
Tucker Carlson
1%
J.B. Pritzker
1%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Rahm Emanuel
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Glenn Youngkin
0%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0%
Nikki Haley
0%
Greg Abbott
0%
Tim Walz
0%
Stephen A. Smith
0%
Party control

2028 presidential party winner

59%Democrat
41%Republican
Trade ↗
Price history
About these markets

How the presidential odds work

Each percentage is the latest traded price for a Kalshi event contract. Candidate-win, party-win, and nomination markets answer different questions, so their prices should be compared within the same market rather than added together across sections.

All presidential markets2026 midterm odds

2028 presidential odds FAQ

Who is favored to win the 2028 presidential election?

J.D. Vance currently leads the Kalshi presidential winner market at 19%. Prices can change as traders react to new information.

Are these live 2028 presidential odds?

Yes. ElectionOdds refreshes the candidate, party, and nomination prices from Kalshi throughout the day. Historical charts use periodic price snapshots.

What does a presidential price of 40% mean?

A 40% price represents a 40% market-implied probability, based on the latest traded Kalshi price. It is a prediction-market estimate, not a poll or an ElectionOdds forecast.