Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·90%(+69%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·54%(-25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·6%(-16%)

Live election odds and prediction markets for 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential races

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races by state

852 races
223Dem
11 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep201
172
40
11
11
15
81
105

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (164)
IL-11
7
CA-26
5
TX-20
4
NJ-03
92-13
NJ-09
91-12
AL-07
91-10
MS-02
91-10
MD-06
92-10
CA-28
90-8
NV-04
93-10
NJ-05
90-7
NH-02
92-8
MN-05
92-8
PA-17
92-8
MO-01
94-9
CA-39
92-8
PA-05
91-7
MD-02
92-8
MN-02
92-7
CA-08
91-6
CA-35
97-12
UT-01
93-7
LA-02
92-7
TX-07
93-7
CA-27
94-7
NY-18
94-8
KS-03
94-7
WA-08
94-7
PA-06
91-4
SC-06
92-5
MD-05
92-5
NY-08
91-4
MA-04
92-4
MN-04
92-5
CA-36
93-5
GA-06
92-5
MA-06
94-6
MI-06
92-4
DE-01
91-3
PA-04
94-6
NY-16
91-3
IL-14
94-6
NY-09
92-4
OH-11
95-6
PA-12
94-6
KY-03
94-6
MD-04
92-3
CO-01
94-6
NY-05
93-4
CA-38
94-5
IL-06
93-4
IL-13
96-7
NJ-12
96-7
NY-20
95-6
CO-02
93-4
RI-01
94-4
GA-02
95-5
IN-07
94-4
MN-03
91-1
NJ-06
93-4
CA-03
95-5
CA-15
95-5
CA-30
95-5
IL-09
95-5
NM-01
95-5
CA-33
94-3
VA-10
95-5
FL-10
94-4
CA-16
94-4
CA-41
94-3
AZ-07
95-5
NC-02
97-6
CT-01
94-4
MA-03
93-2
CO-07
97-6
IL-04
95-4
OR-04
97-6
CT-02
96-5
FL-24
94-3
CA-09
95-3
CA-50
95-4
IL-08
96-4
TX-29
96-4
CA-47
94-3
CO-06
96-5
GA-13
96-4
CA-06
93-1
AZ-03
93-1
CA-10
96-4
FL-20
96-4
MA-09
96-4
NY-25
96-4
IL-02
96-4
WI-02
95-3
CT-03
96-4
MD-07
96-4
CA-18
96-4
NJ-01
95-2
CA-49
94-1
CT-04
98-5
CA-44
97-4
VA-03
95-2
WA-06
97-4
MD-03
98-5
NY-26
98-5
CA-31
96-3
MA-08
97-4
CA-24
97-3
NJ-11
97-4
TX-16
98-4
MA-05
97-3
CA-01
97-3
MD-08
97-3
NY-15
97-3
GA-04
98-5
CA-43
97-3
HI-01
97-3
IL-03
97-3
IL-05
97-3
NJ-10
98-4
OR-06
97-3
VA-08
98-4
WA-07
98-4
MI-13
98-4
TX-37
97-3
CA-51
97-3
IL-10
97-3
NY-06
98-4
OR-01
98-4
CA-02
96-1
CA-42
97-3
ME-01
98-3
NC-12
97-3
OH-03
99-4
MI-12
98-3
NC-04
99-4
NY-10
99-4
WA-02
99-4
CA-19
99-3
WA-09
98-2
TX-30
97-2
CA-17
99-4
WA-10
98-2
NY-12
99-4
VT-01
99-3
CA-32
99-3
NJ-08
98-2
NY-13
99-3
OR-03
99-3
PA-02
99-3
PA-03
99-3
TX-33
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
IL-07
97-0
VA-04
97-1
GA-05
99-2
MA-02
97-0
TX-18
99-2
HI-02
97-0
NY-07
98-1
MA-01
99-2
NY-14
99-1
MA-07
99-0
Likely D (40)
AZ-01
76-32
NY-17
77-30
NE-02
77-21
NJ-07
80-21
CO-08
81-21
WA-03
80-20
TX-28
84-23
NY-03
82-20
AZ-06
81-18
CA-22
78-15
NM-02
81-18
CA-48
81-15
MI-07
81-15
NY-04
80-14
NY-19
81-15
VA-02
83-17
CA-25
79-12
IN-01
82-11
RI-02
76-4
CA-21
88-15
MI-11
78-5
CA-52
79-5
AZ-04
88-12
FL-23
88-12
NV-03
86-10
CA-13
85-9
OH-01
88-11
OH-13
87-10
CA-46
87-9
NV-01
89-11
NH-01
88-10
NY-22
89-11
OR-05
89-11
MI-08
88-10
MI-03
89-10
IL-17
89-7
CA-45
89-6
WA-01
86-3
IL-01
89-6
VA-07
89-5
Lean D (11)
PA-08
64-43
MI-10
63-41
FL-25
63-38
OH-09
65-35
WI-03
64-30
IA-03
73-30
PA-10
72-27
IA-01
71-25
PA-07
74-26
TX-34
73-22
NM-03
74-13
Tossup (11)
TX-15
53-52
CT-05
3-4
NC-01
50-48
VA-01
47-51
FL-14
48-53
FL-22
47-52
NC-11
53-46
PA-01
48-57
IA-02
45-58
TX-35
44-58
MI-04
36-59
Lean R (15)
CO-04
53-69
NY-01
39-64
AZ-02
38-65
WI-01
39-66
MT-01
36-68
ME-02
35-68
FL-09
34-68
KY-06
32-66
OH-07
34-68
CO-03
33-68
AL-02
32-71
MN-01
28-68
FL-07
28-71
FL-27
27-74
FL-13
23-72
Likely R (81)
OH-15
28-77
CO-05
26-77
MN-08
24-76
NJ-02
26-78
SC-01
24-78
TX-23
23-78
WA-05
23-78
FL-15
27-83
NY-21
23-79
VA-05
23-79
MO-05
21-78
FL-16
21-79
TX-24
23-81
TX-32
22-80
MO-04
30-89
TN-05
21-80
NV-02
20-80
NC-09
20-80
OH-10
20-80
TX-09
20-80
WI-08
19-80
FL-12
18-81
NY-02
18-81
AL-05
22-86
FL-04
18-82
GA-07
18-82
IN-05
18-82
NC-07
17-81
TX-17
16-81
GA-12
17-83
MI-01
17-83
MN-06
17-83
NC-06
19-85
AR-02
19-86
MD-01
16-83
MO-02
18-85
TN-09
17-84
NC-14
16-84
TX-31
16-84
FL-26
17-86
FL-03
16-86
GA-11
15-85
NY-24
14-84
AZ-08
16-87
NE-01
9-81
AZ-05
14-86
GA-01
14-86
TX-10
14-86
TX-12
14-86
TX-21
14-86
WA-04
14-86
FL-21
12-85
TX-14
14-87
CA-05
13-87
FL-17
13-87
OH-05
13-87
OH-14
13-87
OK-05
13-87
PA-16
13-87
SC-02
13-87
WI-07
13-87
TX-38
13-88
AK-01
11-87
FL-28
12-88
KS-02
10-86
NY-23
12-88
OK-01
12-88
KS-04
12-89
TX-36
12-89
WI-05
12-89
OH-06
10-87
FL-05
11-89
FL-08
11-89
NC-08
11-89
NC-13
11-89
OH-08
11-89
WI-06
11-89
TX-27
10-88
MI-09
7-85
TX-05
9-88
TX-25
10-89
Safe R (104)
AR-03
20-96
NY-11
13-90
LA-06
13-90
OH-12
13-91
FL-01
12-91
FL-18
11-90
FL-11
14-94
VA-06
10-90
GA-08
11-92
TX-22
10-91
TN-08
11-92
UT-02
9-91
CA-23
9-91
IN-02
9-91
FL-02
9-91
IN-04
11-93
NC-03
9-91
FL-19
8-90
TX-04
11-93
IL-16
9-91
SC-04
8-91
LA-04
10-93
TX-02
8-92
LA-05
10-93
PA-11
8-92
KY-04
9-93
TX-26
8-92
IN-09
7-91
IA-04
12-96
NC-10
8-92
ID-02
10-94
IL-12
7-92
PA-09
10-94
LA-01
10-95
TX-06
6-91
SD-01
7-92
TX-11
9-94
AR-04
8-93
GA-09
7-93
NC-05
7-93
OH-04
11-97
TX-03
7-93
SC-07
7-93
TN-07
7-93
AZ-09
9-95
SC-05
7-93
MN-07
8-95
WV-01
7-93
GA-10
7-93
MI-05
7-94
TN-04
7-94
CA-20
5-92
PA-15
7-94
GA-14
8-95
KS-01
6-94
OH-02
4-92
GA-03
6-94
TN-03
6-94
TN-02
5-93
TX-13
5-93
KY-01
6-94
UT-04
7-96
MT-02
6-94
OK-04
4-93
ND-01
7-96
FL-06
6-95
KY-02
6-95
IN-08
5-94
AL-01
3-93
LA-03
9-99
MS-03
6-96
IL-15
5-95
IN-03
4-94
VA-09
7-97
MS-01
4-94
AL-06
5-96
IN-06
5-96
PA-13
5-96
TX-08
5-95
UT-03
5-95
MO-06
8-98
NJ-04
5-95
TX-01
4-95
AL-03
4-96
WV-02
5-96
MI-02
4-95
MO-03
6-98
NE-03
7-99
ID-01
4-97
PA-14
5-98
MS-04
4-96
OR-02
4-97
OK-03
5-98
TN-06
5-98
TX-19
2-95
AL-04
3-97
SC-03
5-98
MO-07
5-98
KY-05
4-98
AR-01
4-97
OK-02
4-98
WY-01
2-96
MO-08
3-98
TN-01
3-99