U.S. Midterms 2026
Select a state or district to explore.
Explore races
Choose a state to explore its races.
Seat breakdown
Odds breakdown — scroll for more →
highlighted = projected flip
Rating guide
Held seats and districts without a general-election market are identified in the seat breakdown and race details.
How to read the election odds
How to read the live election odds
A 62% price means traders collectively value that outcome at a 62% implied probability. Prices can move with polling, endorsements, fundraising, candidate news, and new trading activity.
Election odds FAQ
What are the current 2026 midterm election odds?+
ElectionOdds shows live Kalshi odds for 2026 Senate, House, and governor races. Use the map for state races or the Congress page for seat and chamber-control projections.
Who is favored to win the 2028 presidential election?+
The 2028 presidential field changes with trading on Kalshi. The presidential page shows the current leader, candidate win probabilities, party nomination odds, 24-hour moves, and price history.
How are the election odds calculated?+
Each probability is the latest traded price on a Kalshi market. A contract at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the market data and does not create its own polling model.
Which party will control Congress after the 2026 midterms?+
The Congress page combines Kalshi Senate and House control markets with state and district race prices. It shows current seat projections and the market-implied chance that each party controls a chamber.
Are election prediction markets the same as sportsbooks?+
No. Prediction markets trade event contracts on regulated exchanges such as Kalshi. ElectionOdds is an independent data display; any trading takes place on Kalshi.
How often do the live election odds update?+
Prices refresh throughout the day. Market moves, maps, seat projections, and candidate boards use current market data, while historical charts use periodic snapshots.