ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+92%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 70%·1%(-89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)

Election odds and prediction markets for 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential races

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
226Dem
8 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep201
195
22
9
8
15
38
148

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (187)
MI-13
99-62
CA-26
5
NJ-03
96-36
NE-02
91-27
NY-22
94-29
FL-23
90-14
NY-19
90-14
NV-03
90-14
NV-04
90-11
CA-48
91-10
IN-01
91-10
NV-01
91-9
MI-03
91-9
MN-02
95-13
CA-21
92-9
CA-25
91-9
MD-06
93-10
NM-02
94-11
NM-03
93-10
MI-08
94-10
CA-08
91-6
CA-45
94-9
MN-04
90-6
AZ-04
94-9
KS-03
93-7
CA-13
90-4
IL-11
93-7
PA-17
92-6
CA-27
94-7
NY-18
95-8
OR-01
91-4
NH-02
96-8
OH-13
95-8
MD-05
92-5
MD-02
95-8
TX-07
95-7
CA-39
92-5
CA-36
93-5
MA-06
94-6
MI-06
92-4
NY-16
91-3
IL-01
95-7
PA-04
94-6
IL-14
94-6
IL-08
94-5
OH-11
95-6
KY-03
94-6
MD-04
92-3
CA-38
94-5
NJ-12
96-7
NY-20
95-6
PA-06
91-2
NY-09
92-3
CA-09
93-3
FL-20
96-7
IL-13
97-7
CA-03
95-5
CA-15
95-5
CA-30
95-5
CA-33
94-4
IL-09
95-5
NM-01
95-5
CA-01
97-7
CA-41
94-3
MI-11
94-3
NC-12
95-5
UT-01
97-6
AZ-07
95-5
WA-08
94-4
SC-06
97-6
CO-07
97-6
CO-02
99-8
CT-02
96-5
MA-08
95-4
CT-01
94-3
VA-07
96-5
WI-02
95-4
MN-05
99-7
VA-03
95-4
CA-47
94-3
CA-50
95-3
RI-02
96-4
TX-29
96-4
GA-02
96-4
NY-05
97-6
CO-06
96-5
AZ-03
93-1
TX-20
96-4
PA-12
96-4
FL-10
95-3
GA-13
96-4
MD-07
96-4
MS-02
96-4
NY-08
96-4
CA-16
94-2
GA-06
97-5
MI-12
98-5
WA-01
96-3
VA-10
97-4
WA-09
95-2
GA-04
98-5
IL-04
97-4
NJ-11
97-4
AL-07
96-3
MD-03
98-5
PA-05
97-3
NY-26
98-5
CA-31
96-3
CO-01
98-5
IL-02
97-4
IL-17
96-2
MA-04
98-4
NY-25
96-3
WA-07
98-4
IN-07
98-4
TX-16
98-4
CA-10
96-2
MD-08
97-3
OR-04
97-3
VT-01
97-3
WA-06
97-4
MA-09
98-4
NY-06
98-5
NY-15
97-3
DE-01
97-3
NC-02
97-3
CA-18
98-4
FL-24
97-3
HI-01
97-3
IL-05
97-3
NJ-08
96-2
NJ-10
98-4
NY-13
98-4
TX-37
97-3
CA-35
98-3
CA-43
97-3
IL-10
97-3
CA-24
98-3
ME-01
98-3
CA-42
98-4
NJ-06
97-2
OR-03
97-3
RI-01
97-3
CA-51
98-3
IL-03
98-3
NY-12
99-4
CA-32
97-3
CA-02
97-3
CA-17
99-4
CT-03
96-2
MA-02
98-3
VA-04
98-3
OH-03
99-4
NC-04
99-4
NY-10
99-4
WA-02
99-4
OR-06
97-2
TX-30
97-2
CA-28
97-1
MO-01
99-4
HI-02
97-2
MA-01
98-2
NJ-01
98-2
CA-49
97-1
CT-04
99-4
CA-19
97-1
PA-02
99-3
TX-33
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
CA-44
97-1
MA-03
98-1
CA-06
98-1
MA-05
97-0
WA-10
98-1
LA-02
99-2
VA-08
99-2
TX-18
99-2
IL-07
98-0
NY-07
98-1
GA-05
99-1
NJ-05
100-2
NY-14
99-1
MN-03
99-1
IL-06
99-1
MA-07
99-0
PA-03
99-0
Likely D (22)
PA-07
85-33
CO-08
81-28
IA-01
88-35
OH-07
77-24
TX-28
78-24
VA-02
79-25
PA-10
83-28
AZ-01
79-22
AZ-06
85-27
NY-03
86-24
PA-08
82-20
NJ-09
89-26
NJ-07
83-15
WA-03
86-14
NH-01
89-16
OH-01
89-16
CA-52
79-5
CA-22
89-15
CT-05
78-3
CA-46
87-9
OR-05
89-9
NY-04
89-6
Lean D (9)
MI-04
62-60
IA-03
73-59
FL-14
64-39
MI-07
67-39
NC-11
69-35
NY-17
71-35
FL-25
71-33
WI-03
71-32
TX-34
70-30
Tossup (8)
VA-01
52-48
TX-15
54-49
ME-02
50-57
PA-01
50-57
TX-35
53-45
NC-01
55-45
IA-02
45-59
OH-09
56-23
Lean R (15)
MI-10
61-65
CO-03
45-62
MT-01
43-60
TX-23
36-70
FL-13
34-69
CO-04
34-70
FL-22
34-70
MN-01
32-68
NV-02
22-61
WI-01
31-72
FL-09
28-70
NY-21
28-74
SC-01
23-73
AL-02
22-74
AK-01
2-72
Likely R (38)
TX-32
76-80
FL-07
31-75
AZ-02
28-75
CO-05
26-77
NY-01
26-79
NC-09
25-78
KY-06
25-79
IN-05
23-85
MO-02
21-83
WA-05
18-80
FL-16
17-80
TX-09
20-83
FL-27
15-79
MO-05
21-87
FL-04
16-84
VA-05
17-86
OH-10
18-88
OH-15
17-87
MN-08
15-87
NE-01
14-86
NC-07
14-86
NC-14
13-85
FL-11
11-84
TN-09
16-89
AR-02
14-88
GA-12
13-87
MI-01
13-87
NC-13
11-86
TN-05
13-88
WI-08
12-87
FL-15
11-87
PA-16
13-89
NJ-02
11-89
NY-02
11-89
OH-08
11-89
MS-01
6-84
NC-03
9-88
SC-07
10-89
Safe R (147)
AR-03
20-96
TX-24
12-90
AZ-08
12-90
TX-10
12-90
AZ-05
14-92
FL-26
11-90
KS-02
12-91
TX-22
12-91
MO-06
13-92
MD-01
11-91
WI-06
11-91
FL-12
10-90
NC-06
11-91
FL-28
11-91
FL-21
10-91
TX-02
11-92
TN-08
10-90
TX-21
10-90
GA-01
12-93
NY-23
9-91
KS-04
11-93
OK-01
9-91
FL-18
8-90
CA-23
10-92
FL-19
8-91
CA-05
9-91
TX-27
10-92
TX-25
10-92
IL-16
9-92
TX-05
9-92
OH-12
9-92
MN-06
8-91
TX-12
9-92
IA-04
10-93
TX-31
12-95
WI-05
9-92
TX-17
9-92
NC-10
8-91
OH-05
9-93
OK-05
13-97
FL-02
10-93
GA-08
9-93
LA-06
8-92
GA-07
8-92
NY-24
6-91
TX-36
8-93
TX-03
9-94
SC-02
10-95
WI-07
8-92
FL-08
9-94
FL-05
8-93
PA-11
6-92
IN-02
5-90
FL-03
7-93
GA-11
8-94
PA-15
8-94
TN-06
10-96
AZ-09
5-91
SC-05
7-93
IL-12
9-95
MO-03
8-94
OH-06
6-93
TX-11
8-95
NC-08
4-91
TX-38
9-96
UT-03
8-95
FL-01
5-92
MO-04
5-93
VA-06
9-97
TN-07
5-93
TX-04
6-94
NY-11
6-94
UT-04
7-96
WV-01
6-95
WA-04
4-93
MT-02
6-95
MI-05
4-93
KY-04
4-93
TX-14
5-94
TX-06
6-95
OH-02
2-92
IN-06
8-98
GA-10
7-97
IN-09
3-93
AR-04
4-94
MI-02
5-95
SD-01
5-95
KS-01
3-94
AL-04
6-97
ID-02
3-94
PA-09
3-94
IN-04
5-96
UT-02
5-96
VA-09
6-97
MI-09
7-98
IL-15
3-94
TX-08
4-95
CA-20
5-96
IN-08
5-96
LA-01
5-96
TN-03
4-96
AL-05
4-96
OH-04
3-95
TX-26
0-92
GA-03
2-94
LA-03
5-97
MN-07
4-96
TN-04
3-95
FL-17
5-97
LA-04
2-95
ID-01
4-96
KY-02
2-95
LA-05
2-95
PA-14
3-95
WV-02
3-96
OH-14
1-94
FL-06
4-97
IN-03
4-97
OK-03
5-98
PA-13
2-96
TX-19
2-95
AL-03
3-97
AL-01
3-96
SC-03
5-98
TN-01
3-97
MO-07
5-98
KY-05
4-98
SC-04
4-97
GA-14
2-96
NC-05
1-95
MS-03
2-96
WY-01
2-96
MS-04
3-97
TX-13
2-96
NJ-04
1-95
ND-01
1-96
OK-04
2-96
TN-02
2-97
GA-09
1-96
MO-08
3-98
AL-06
3-98
OK-02
1-96
AR-01
3-97
OR-02
4-99
TX-01
2-98
NE-03
3-99
KY-01
1-98