Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiCA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·Lindsey Graham, 25-30%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary: Mark Lynch vote percent·25% - 30%·97%(+97%)MO-02 Democratic nominee?·Fred Wellman·96%(+96%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·John Rutherford·92%(+92%)MD-03 Republican nominee?·Bernard Flowers·89%(+89%)Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?·Before Jan 1, 2028·96%(+87.8%)WA-01 primary: who will advance?·Mary Silva·83%(+83%)Who will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·2%(-79%)Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin·Nithya Raman, 3-4%·92%(+79%)Texas 01 House General Election: voter turnout·Above 220K·78%(+78%)Texas 37 House General Election: voter turnout·Above 220K·77%(+77%)CA-43 primary: first place·Myla Rahman·1%(-75%)

Live election odds and prediction markets for 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential races

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races by state

7887 races
221Dem
15 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep199
169
39
13
15
19
82
98

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (169)
NM-03
90-13
CA-03
91-12
MS-02
90-10
MD-06
92-10
NV-04
93-10
MN-05
92-8
LA-02
92-8
NY-18
92-8
VA-10
94-10
CO-01
94-10
CA-39
92-8
MD-02
92-8
FL-10
92-8
CA-35
97-12
UT-01
93-7
TX-07
93-8
MN-04
96-10
WA-08
93-7
CA-49
94-8
KS-03
94-7
CO-02
93-7
NJ-06
90-4
CA-37
94-7
CA-28
95-8
SC-06
93-6
IL-08
95-8
MO-01
97-9
CA-33
94-6
CA-09
95-7
CA-36
93-5
MA-08
97-9
PA-04
94-6
MA-06
94-6
CT-05
93-4
IL-14
94-6
CA-27
94-6
NY-05
93-5
NM-01
94-6
PA-12
97-9
NJ-11
92-4
OH-11
95-6
KY-03
94-6
NJ-12
96-7
IL-13
96-7
CA-38
94-5
IL-06
93-4
PA-05
96-7
CA-06
90-1
NJ-01
95-5
GA-02
95-5
IN-07
94-4
FL-20
94-4
CA-07
96-6
IL-09
95-5
CA-30
95-5
CA-15
95-5
HI-02
95-5
CA-16
94-4
CA-41
94-4
WA-01
94-3
AZ-07
95-5
NC-02
97-6
CA-01
97-6
CT-01
94-4
OR-04
97-6
CO-07
97-6
CT-04
96-5
CT-02
96-5
OR-06
96-4
NY-20
97-6
CA-50
95-4
TX-29
96-4
RI-01
95-4
IL-01
98-6
CA-02
96-4
CA-47
97-6
TX-20
96-4
CA-10
96-4
CA-29
96-4
MD-05
97-5
NY-25
96-4
MA-09
96-4
CA-25
92-0
RI-02
96-4
WI-02
95-3
CA-32
97-5
CT-03
96-4
CO-06
96-4
MD-07
96-4
CA-18
96-4
NY-10
96-4
GA-13
97-4
MA-03
98-5
CA-44
97-4
VA-03
95-2
MD-03
98-5
NY-26
98-5
CA-31
96-3
MI-11
99-5
TX-16
98-4
WA-06
97-3
GA-04
98-4
CA-04
99-5
CA-43
97-3
WA-07
98-4
WA-02
98-4
NY-09
98-4
NY-07
98-4
NJ-10
98-4
MI-13
98-4
MI-06
98-4
MA-04
98-4
CA-24
97-3
TX-37
97-3
IL-05
97-3
IL-03
97-3
HI-01
97-3
MA-01
96-2
TX-30
96-2
VA-04
97-3
CA-14
96-2
CA-51
97-3
IL-10
97-3
AZ-03
97-3
NY-06
98-4
OR-01
98-4
MA-05
97-3
CA-42
97-3
CA-17
99-4
ME-01
98-3
NY-14
99-4
NC-12
97-3
OH-03
99-4
NY-08
99-4
NC-04
99-4
VA-08
99-4
NY-16
98-3
MI-12
98-3
CA-19
99-3
WA-09
98-2
IL-02
96-1
WA-10
98-2
NY-12
99-4
NY-15
99-3
NJ-08
98-2
IL-04
99-3
TX-33
99-3
PA-06
99-3
PA-03
99-3
PA-02
99-3
OR-03
99-3
NY-13
99-3
MD-08
99-3
MD-04
99-3
GA-06
99-3
DE-01
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
IL-07
97-0
GA-05
99-2
TX-18
99-2
CA-34
98-1
MN-03
99-1
VT-01
99-1
FL-24
99-1
CA-12
99-0
MA-07
99-0
MA-02
99-0
CA-11
99-1
Likely D (39)
OH-01
79-27
WA-03
78-24
TX-28
77-22
NE-02
78-22
CA-22
78-21
NY-03
75-17
VA-02
79-21
NM-02
87-29
MI-07
80-20
NY-19
81-21
NJ-07
79-19
NV-03
82-21
AZ-06
84-22
FL-23
81-18
CA-48
81-16
IN-01
83-17
CA-45
83-16
NY-22
84-16
CA-13
87-17
NJ-09
87-16
CA-21
86-15
MI-03
88-16
AL-07
86-14
PA-17
86-14
NV-01
84-11
CA-52
79-5
IL-17
88-13
NJ-05
89-14
MI-08
88-12
OH-13
86-10
CA-08
82-6
VA-07
89-12
OR-05
89-11
NJ-03
89-11
CA-46
87-9
NH-01
88-10
MN-02
89-10
AZ-04
88-8
NH-02
89-8
Lean D (13)
PA-08
61-39
IA-03
64-40
NY-17
66-39
MI-10
69-34
FL-25
69-34
WI-03
69-34
IA-01
70-34
PA-10
72-33
CO-08
72-33
AZ-01
70-30
TX-34
72-31
PA-07
73-30
NY-04
74-25
Tossup (15)
VA-01
52-52
PA-01
51-51
IA-02
50-50
OH-09
54-52
TX-15
49-51
OH-12
8-5
CA-26
0-5
IL-11
0-7
FL-14
46-54
FL-22
56-48
NC-01
57-48
TX-35
45-55
NC-11
55-44
MT-01
45-56
ME-02
47-59
Lean R (19)
NY-01
41-60
KY-06
39-60
FL-09
40-61
OH-07
40-62
MI-04
36-60
WI-01
33-63
MN-01
32-65
CO-03
34-68
CO-04
32-67
AZ-02
29-67
FL-13
28-72
FL-27
28-72
MO-05
27-71
MN-08
27-73
SC-01
26-73
NJ-02
26-74
AL-02
26-74
VA-05
25-74
FL-12
14-72
Likely R (82)
NY-21
28-77
OH-15
26-75
TX-23
26-77
CO-05
26-79
WA-05
23-76
FL-07
23-77
TX-24
23-77
FL-16
21-76
TX-32
23-78
TN-05
21-77
NC-09
22-78
MD-01
21-78
TX-12
22-79
NV-02
21-79
GA-07
22-81
OH-10
22-81
AZ-08
22-81
NC-14
20-79
TX-09
20-79
WI-08
19-78
FL-15
21-81
MO-02
22-85
GA-12
17-80
NC-07
21-85
MN-06
17-82
TX-17
16-81
FL-04
18-84
TN-09
19-85
AZ-05
18-84
AL-05
22-89
VA-06
17-84
GA-11
15-82
TX-22
12-79
TX-31
16-84
NC-06
16-84
FL-28
12-80
WI-07
14-83
AR-02
17-86
FL-26
16-85
NE-01
12-81
FL-03
16-86
TX-21
15-85
NY-24
16-87
TX-38
14-86
OH-08
14-86
FL-11
14-86
AK-01
14-86
TX-14
14-87
WI-06
12-85
TX-36
12-85
NC-08
12-85
IN-05
9-83
PA-16
13-87
OK-01
13-87
FL-17
13-87
NY-11
14-89
TX-10
14-89
OH-06
12-87
NC-13
11-86
UT-02
12-88
LA-06
12-88
KY-04
12-88
FL-21
12-88
WA-04
9-85
KS-04
12-89
OK-05
12-89
MO-04
12-89
OH-05
10-87
TX-26
10-87
CA-05
8-85
FL-05
11-89
FL-01
11-89
TX-27
10-88
MI-09
7-85
NC-10
9-88
TX-25
10-89
NY-02
10-89
TX-05
9-88
NY-23
6-85
TN-08
10-89
GA-01
3-86
OH-14
1-86
Safe R (98)
MI-01
24-92
AR-03
20-96
UT-03
13-90
FL-18
11-90
KS-02
10-90
CA-23
9-90
IL-12
10-91
SC-02
16-97
IN-02
9-90
IL-16
9-90
NC-03
9-91
SC-07
8-90
FL-19
8-90
PA-11
9-92
LA-05
10-92
FL-08
15-98
WI-05
14-97
SC-04
8-91
IN-04
10-93
TX-04
10-93
TX-06
10-93
TX-03
7-91
IN-09
7-91
SC-05
8-92
PA-09
10-94
LA-01
10-95
MI-05
9-94
TX-11
9-94
ND-01
7-92
FL-02
6-91
AR-04
8-93
GA-09
7-93
NC-05
7-93
TN-07
7-93
MT-02
9-95
AZ-09
9-95
TX-19
9-96
ID-02
10-96
MN-07
8-95
WV-01
7-93
GA-10
7-94
TN-04
7-94
CA-20
5-92
LA-04
11-98
GA-14
8-95
KS-01
6-94
GA-03
6-94
TN-02
5-93
TX-13
5-93
UT-04
7-96
PA-15
7-95
IA-04
7-96
FL-06
6-95
MI-02
6-95
KY-02
6-95
IN-08
5-94
TN-03
6-96
KY-01
5-94
LA-03
9-99
GA-08
6-95
AL-06
5-95
IL-15
5-95
TX-08
5-95
NJ-04
5-95
IN-03
4-94
PA-13
5-96
IN-06
5-96
AL-01
3-94
MO-06
8-98
OH-04
6-97
TX-02
1-92
VA-09
7-97
MS-03
6-97
SD-01
7-98
AL-03
4-96
WV-02
5-96
MS-01
4-95
MO-03
6-98
NE-03
7-99
ID-01
4-97
PA-14
5-98
MS-04
4-96
OR-02
4-97
TN-06
5-98
OK-03
5-98
SC-03
5-98
AL-04
3-97
KY-05
4-98
TX-01
2-96
AR-01
4-97
OK-04
4-98
OK-02
4-98
OH-02
4-98
WY-01
4-98
MO-07
4-98
MO-08
3-98
TN-01
3-99
CA-40
1-99