Live market summary
Jim Costa is favored at 93.9% as of 15 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Jim Costa: 93.9% (24h change 0%)
- Kyle Kirkland: 7.7% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: CA-21 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-21 House winner?
Jim Costa is favored at 93.9% as of 15 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-21 House winner?
Jim Costa: 93.9%; Kyle Kirkland: 7.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.