Live market summary
Aaron Flint is favored at 64% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Aaron Flint: 64% (24h change -3%)
- Sam Forstag: 40% (24h change +6%)
About this market
Market question: MT-01 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in MT-01 House winner?
Aaron Flint is favored at 64% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for MT-01 House winner?
Aaron Flint: 64%; Sam Forstag: 40%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.