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HouseHistorical market

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Jay Feely had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 23 Jul 2026, 12:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Jay Feely
Closed contract
99.9%
Joseph Chaplik
Closed contract
0.1%
Gina Swoboda
Closed contract
0.1%
Kari Lake
Closed contract
0.1%
Matt Gress
Closed contract
0.1%
Todd Graham
Closed contract
0.1%
Jason Duey
Closed contract
0.1%
Michelle Ugenti-Rita
Closed contract
0.1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Jay Feely had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 23 Jul 2026, 12:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Jay Feely: 99.9%; Joseph Chaplik: 0.1%; Gina Swoboda: 0.1%; Kari Lake: 0.1%; Matt Gress: 0.1%; Todd Graham: 0.1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.