Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·2%(-96%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 10+ pts·92.4%(+81.4%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)FL-25 Democratic primary: Jared Moskowitz vote percent·At least 60%·78%(+53%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·86%(+49%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·65%(+43%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·80%(+42%)Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?·South Carolina·69%(+39%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·12%(-38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 25·32%(-36%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%·72%(+36%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Elaine Pelino·94%(+35%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·70%(+35%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·2%(-96%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 10+ pts·92.4%(+81.4%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)FL-25 Democratic primary: Jared Moskowitz vote percent·At least 60%·78%(+53%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·86%(+49%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·65%(+43%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·80%(+42%)Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?·South Carolina·69%(+39%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·12%(-38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 25·32%(-36%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%·72%(+36%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Elaine Pelino·94%(+35%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·70%(+35%)

Summary

Luz Rivas is favored at 90% as of 17 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

house2 marketsLIVE

CA-29 House winner?

All options

Luz Rivas

90%

—

$4K

Angélica María Dueñas

15%

▲ +2%

$8K