Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·31%(-64%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 70%·11%(-60%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·64%(+44%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·43%(+35.5%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·70%(+35%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·70%(+33%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·57%(+33%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·31%(-64%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 70%·11%(-60%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·64%(+44%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·43%(+35.5%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·70%(+35%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·70%(+33%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·57%(+33%)

Summary

Ken Calvert is favored at 68% as of 15 Aug 2026, 14:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

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CA-40 House winner?

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Ken Calvert

68%

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$268

Young Kim

29%

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$320