Live market summary
Ken Calvert is favored at 65% as of 2 Oct 2026, 03:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Ken Calvert: 65% (24h change +4%)
- Young Kim: 41% (24h change 0%)
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CA-40 House winner?
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About this market
Market question: CA-40 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-40 House winner?
Ken Calvert is favored at 65% as of 2 Oct 2026, 03:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-40 House winner?
Ken Calvert: 65%; Young Kim: 41%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.