California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Tom Steyer had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?
Tom Steyer had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?
Tom Steyer: 99%; Steve Hilton: 99%; Xavier Becerra: 99%; Matt Mahan: 5%; Katie Porter: 5%; Chad Bianco: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.