Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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CA-13 primary: Who will advance?
·
Adam Gray
·
95%
(+91.1%)
NM-02 Republican nominee?
·
Greg Cunningham
·
95%
(+91%)
CA-21 primary: Who will advance?
·
Jim Costa
·
5%
(-88%)
CA-05 primary: Who will advance?
·
Michael Masuda
·
88%
(+86.9%)
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
90.1%
(+86.8%)
Who will win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?
·
Republican party
·
3%
(-85%)
MD-07 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
4%
(-85%)
Who will win the Attorney General race in Idaho?
·
Republican party
·
5%
(-84%)
MI-08 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
88%
(+83%)
Indiana Governor winner? (2028)
·
Republican
·
1%
(-81%)
CA-41 primary: Who will advance?
·
Mitch Clemmons
·
2%
(-80%)
NY-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Laura Gillen
·
3%
(-80%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/17-5/23)
·
At least 5
·
99%
(+80%)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
97.1%
(+79.1%)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
·
Before Jun 15, 2026
·
92%
(+79%)
Powered by
Kalshi
CA-13 primary: Who will advance?
·
Adam Gray
·
95%
(+91.1%)
NM-02 Republican nominee?
·
Greg Cunningham
·
95%
(+91%)
CA-21 primary: Who will advance?
·
Jim Costa
·
5%
(-88%)
CA-05 primary: Who will advance?
·
Michael Masuda
·
88%
(+86.9%)
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
90.1%
(+86.8%)
Who will win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?
·
Republican party
·
3%
(-85%)
MD-07 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
4%
(-85%)
Who will win the Attorney General race in Idaho?
·
Republican party
·
5%
(-84%)
MI-08 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
88%
(+83%)
Indiana Governor winner? (2028)
·
Republican
·
1%
(-81%)
CA-41 primary: Who will advance?
·
Mitch Clemmons
·
2%
(-80%)
NY-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Laura Gillen
·
3%
(-80%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/17-5/23)
·
At least 5
·
99%
(+80%)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
97.1%
(+79.1%)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
·
Before Jun 15, 2026
·
92%
(+79%)
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John Garamendi
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Rudy Recile
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Nicolas Carjuzaa
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