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HouseHistorical market

CA-23 primary: first place

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Jay Obernolte had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 00:32 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Jay Obernolte
Closed contract
99%
Tessa Lynn Hodge
Closed contract
9%
Charles Wallis
Closed contract
1%
Eli Owens
Closed contract
1%
Karsten Scott Nicholson
Closed contract
1%
Karen Matthews
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for CA-23 primary: first place?

Jay Obernolte had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 00:32 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for CA-23 primary: first place?

Jay Obernolte: 99%; Tessa Lynn Hodge: 9%; Charles Wallis: 1%; Eli Owens: 1%; Karsten Scott Nicholson: 1%; Karen Matthews: 0%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.