ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·5%(-75%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)TX-32 House winner?·Dan Barrios·22%(-54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·1%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-46%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-44%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-43.7%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·56%(+42%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 16+ pts·18%(-38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·4.7%(-35.3%)
Back
Summary

Iowa is favored at 18% as of 20 Aug 2026, 20:33 UTC across 14 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Iowa: 18% (24h change +3%)
  • Ohio: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Georgia: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Nevada: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Wisconsin: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Arizona: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Kansas: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Michigan: 5.5% (24h change 0%)
  • New Hampshire: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
  • New York: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Maine: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Minnesota: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
  • New Mexico: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Pennsylvania: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
governor14 marketsLIVE

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

Iowa

18%
Trade ↗

Ohio

14%
Trade ↗

Maine

1.9%
Trade ↗