Minnesota is favored at 89% as of 9 Oct 2026, 05:06 UTC across 5 markets.
- Minnesota: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Michigan: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Arizona: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Pennsylvania: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Nevada: 45% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
Minnesota is favored at 89% as of 9 Oct 2026, 05:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
Minnesota: 89%; Michigan: 75%; Arizona: 65%; Pennsylvania: 55%; Nevada: 45%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.