Powered by KalshiWhich Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·99%(+78%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·89%(+74%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·99%(+67%)Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?·Before Jan 31, 2028·26%(-56%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·47%(-48%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent·At least 50%·55%(+48%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Keir Starmer·58%(+44%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Treg Taylor·1.2%(-42.8%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·40%(-41%)When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?·Before Jan 1, 2027·97%(+41%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·59%(+39%)Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?·Drug Legalization Authority Amendment·77%(+39%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Otzma Yehudit·90%(+35%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·44%(+34%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥8%·43%(-34%)

Powered by KalshiWhich Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·99%(+78%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·89%(+74%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·99%(+67%)Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?·Before Jan 31, 2028·26%(-56%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·47%(-48%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent·At least 50%·55%(+48%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Keir Starmer·58%(+44%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Treg Taylor·1.2%(-42.8%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·40%(-41%)When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?·Before Jan 1, 2027·97%(+41%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·59%(+39%)Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?·Drug Legalization Authority Amendment·77%(+39%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Otzma Yehudit·90%(+35%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·44%(+34%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥8%·43%(-34%)

Summary

Above 250 is favored at 84% as of 1 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

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Odds history

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All options

Above 250

84%

—

$266

Above 300

80%

—

$150

Above 280

73%

—

$75

Above 340

72%

—

$1K

Above 370

66%

—

$14