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Live market summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 71% as of 7 Oct 2026, 10:34 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 15% (24h change -6%)
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When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

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About this market

Market question: When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 71% as of 7 Oct 2026, 10:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Before Jan 1, 2028: 71%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 62%; Before Oct 1, 2027: 61%; Before Apr 1, 2027: 56%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 15%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.