ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiNY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·3%(-93%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·93%(+89%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·88%(+85%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·7%(-67%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·99%(+67%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Mike Lindell·99%(+66%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 14·65%(+60%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 8·27%(-53%)Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?·In 2026·95.5%(+52.5%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Shabana Mahmood·93%(+51%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 60·70%(+49%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·54%(+49%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Wes Streeting·94%(+46%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·79%(+44%)Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date·Before Oct 1, 2026·8%(-43%)
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Summary

Michael Carbonara is favored at 59% as of 16 Jul 2026, 04:33 UTC across 15 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Michael Carbonara: 59% (24h change +1%)
  • Belinda Kaiser: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Steve Avila: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • David Burck: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Lateresa Jones: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Herbie Wertheim: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Deborah Adeimy: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Paola Branda: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Anna Medvedeva: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Antonio Srado: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Chris Collins: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Casey Askar: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Richard Evans: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Terri Hasdorff: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Thompson: 1% (24h change 0%)
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