Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+93%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·4%(-64%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-63%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent·At least 55%·46%(-43%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)2028 popular vote margin of victory?·Democratic by 9.0% or more·22%(-38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·75%(+33%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Jul 1, 2027·24%(-32%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 2·3%(-29%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·28%(-27%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+93%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·4%(-64%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-63%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent·At least 55%·46%(-43%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)2028 popular vote margin of victory?·Democratic by 9.0% or more·22%(-38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·75%(+33%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Jul 1, 2027·24%(-32%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 2·3%(-29%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·28%(-27%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Live market summary

Above $25M is favored at 99% as of 3 Aug 2026, 04:33 UTC across 3 markets.

governor3 marketsLIVE

Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)

Odds history

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All options

Above $25M

99%

—

$4K

Above $30M

97%

—

$954

Above $35M

83%

—

$2K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)?

Above $25M is favored at 99% as of 3 Aug 2026, 04:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)?

Above $25M: 99%; Above $30M: 97%; Above $35M: 83%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.