Back
Live market summary

Florida is favored at 76% as of 9 Oct 2026, 06:36 UTC across 15 markets.

  • Florida: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Texas: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Kansas: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Ohio: 43% (24h change +7%)
  • Georgia: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • New Hampshire: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Wisconsin: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Iowa: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Alaska: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Michigan: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Arizona: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Nevada: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Minnesota: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Vermont: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Pennsylvania: 1% (24h change 0%)
policy15 marketsLIVE

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

Ohio

43%
Trade ↗

Iowa

15%
Trade ↗
About this market

Market question: Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Florida is favored at 76% as of 9 Oct 2026, 06:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Florida: 76%; Texas: 75%; Kansas: 65%; Ohio: 43%; Georgia: 43%; New Hampshire: 20%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.