Live market summary
Lou Correa is favored at 97.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Lou Correa: 97.7% (24h change +4.7%)
- David Pan: 6.8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: CA-46 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-46 House winner?
Lou Correa is favored at 97.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-46 House winner?
Lou Correa: 97.7%; David Pan: 6.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.