Live market summary
Jim Baird is favored at 93.2% as of 5 Oct 2026, 20:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Jim Baird: 93.2% (24h change -1.7%)
- Drew Cox: 7.1% (24h change +1.1%)
About this market
Market question: IN-04 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in IN-04 House winner?
Jim Baird is favored at 93.2% as of 5 Oct 2026, 20:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for IN-04 House winner?
Jim Baird: 93.2%; Drew Cox: 7.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.