Live market summary
Melanie Stansbury is favored at 93.5% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Melanie Stansbury: 93.5% (24h change 0%)
- Didi Okpareke: 1.7% (24h change -5.5%)
About this market
Market question: NM-01 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NM-01 House winner?
Melanie Stansbury is favored at 93.5% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NM-01 House winner?
Melanie Stansbury: 93.5%; Didi Okpareke: 1.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.