Live market summary
Paul Tonko is favored at 97.3% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Paul Tonko: 97.3% (24h change 0%)
- Ralph Ambrosio: 4.8% (24h change 0%)
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NY-20 House winner?
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About this market
Market question: NY-20 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NY-20 House winner?
Paul Tonko is favored at 97.3% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NY-20 House winner?
Paul Tonko: 97.3%; Ralph Ambrosio: 4.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.