Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·93.1%(+91.1%)Who will AOC endorse?·Darializa Avila Chevalier·2%(-77%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·18%(-62%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·67%(+44%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·10%(-29%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·77%(+26%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·Ken Paxton and Graham Platner·2%(-23%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·25 to 99·55%(+19%)
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Live summary

Paul Tonko is favored at 95% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 2 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Paul Tonko: 95% (24h change 0%)
  • Ralph Ambrosio: 6% (24h change 0%)
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