Live market summary
Lloyd Smucker is favored at 94% as of 3 Oct 2026, 16:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Lloyd Smucker: 94% (24h change +3.4%)
- Nancy Mannion: 6.8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: PA-11 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in PA-11 House winner?
Lloyd Smucker is favored at 94% as of 3 Oct 2026, 16:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for PA-11 House winner?
Lloyd Smucker: 94%; Nancy Mannion: 6.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.