Live market summary
Joaquin Castro is favored at 92.9% as of 1 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Joaquin Castro: 92.9% (24h change 0%)
- Edgardo Baez: 2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: TX-20 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in TX-20 House winner?
Joaquin Castro is favored at 92.9% as of 1 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for TX-20 House winner?
Joaquin Castro: 92.9%; Edgardo Baez: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.