Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·34%(-29%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·41%(-28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·34%(-29%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·41%(-28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)

Summary

Jon Bonck is favored at 88% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

house2 marketsLIVE

TX-38 House winner?

All options

Jon Bonck

88%

—

$2K

Melissa McDonough

13%

—

$330