Live market summary
5 is favored at 50% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC across 6 markets.
- 5: 50% (24h change +1%)
- 6: 26% (24h change 0%)
- 4: 19% (24h change 0%)
- 3: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Above 6: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Below 3: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
5 is favored at 50% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
5: 50%; 6: 26%; 4: 19%; 3: 7%; Above 6: 5%; Below 3: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.