ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTrump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22)·3-4 AM·60%(+57%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·15%(-45%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·76%(+42%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·44%(+35%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·20%(-34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·36%(+30.7%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 6·1%(-27%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·36%(-27%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Narendra Modi·12%(-27%)Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?·Helen Zille·75%(+24%)PA-01 House winner?·Brian Fitzpatrick·36%(-23%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·David Kustoff·2.1%(-22.9%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·21%(-22%)Will White House ballroom construction be halted?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that above-ground physical construction of the White House State Ballroom has been halted by an effective court order or other binding legal restriction before Aug 22, 2026?·1%(-22%)
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Summary

Republicans sweep is favored at 83% as of 22 Aug 2026, 14:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans sweep: 83% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic Governor, Republican Senator: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats sweep: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican Governor, Democratic Senator: 8% (24h change +2%)
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Kansas Governor-Senate combo

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