Live market summary
John Day is favored at 14% as of 2 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- John Day: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Tia LeBrun: 2.3% (24h change 0%)
- Caleb Walker: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: LA-03 Democratic nominee?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in LA-03 Democratic nominee?
John Day is favored at 14% as of 2 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for LA-03 Democratic nominee?
John Day: 14%; Tia LeBrun: 2.3%; Caleb Walker: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.