Live market summary
Conrad Cable is favored at 6% as of 12 Sep 2026, 23:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Conrad Cable: 6% (24h change -17%)
- Matt Gromlich: 0.3% (24h change -1.2%)
About this market
Market question: LA-04 Democratic nominee?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in LA-04 Democratic nominee?
Conrad Cable is favored at 6% as of 12 Sep 2026, 23:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for LA-04 Democratic nominee?
Conrad Cable: 6%; Matt Gromlich: 0.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.