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Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Crawford, 27+ pts is favored at 96.5% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC across 8 markets.

  • Crawford, 27+ pts: 96.5% (24h change +96.5%)
  • Crawford, 33+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • Crawford, 30+ pts: 78% (24h change -10%)
  • Crawford, 36+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Crawford, 39+ pts: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • Crawford, 42+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Crawford, 45+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Crawford, 48+ pts: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory?

Crawford, 27+ pts is favored at 96.5% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory?

Crawford, 27+ pts: 96.5%; Crawford, 33+ pts: 78%; Crawford, 30+ pts: 78%; Crawford, 36+ pts: 55%; Crawford, 39+ pts: 44%; Crawford, 42+ pts: 42%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.