Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Hill, 1+ pts is favored at 95.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 15:31 UTC across 8 markets.
- Hill, 1+ pts: 95.9% (24h change +23.9%)
- Hill, 9+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Hill, 15+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
- Hill, 24+ pts: 8.5% (24h change 0%)
- Hill, 12+ pts: 3% (24h change -14%)
- Hill, 6+ pts: 2% (24h change -38%)
- Hill, 3+ pts: 1.1% (24h change -46.9%)
- Hill, 18+ pts: 1% (24h change -4.5%)
About this market
Market question: Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory?
Hill, 1+ pts is favored at 95.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 15:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory?
Hill, 1+ pts: 95.9%; Hill, 9+ pts: 30%; Hill, 15+ pts: 28%; Hill, 24+ pts: 8.5%; Hill, 12+ pts: 3%; Hill, 6+ pts: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.