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Live market summary

Hill, 3+ pts is favored at 74% as of 16 Sep 2026, 07:06 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Hill, 3+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Hill, 6+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Hill, 9+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Hill, 12+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Hill, 15+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Hill, 18+ pts: 15% (24h change +15%)
  • Hill, 24+ pts: 8.5% (24h change 0%)
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Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory

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Hill, 18+ pts

15%
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About this market

Market question: Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory?

Hill, 3+ pts is favored at 74% as of 16 Sep 2026, 07:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory?

Hill, 3+ pts: 74%; Hill, 6+ pts: 60%; Hill, 9+ pts: 45%; Hill, 12+ pts: 31%; Hill, 15+ pts: 28%; Hill, 18+ pts: 15%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.