Shah, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 8 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Shah, 2+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 5+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 8+ pts: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 11+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 14+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 17+ pts: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
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Market question: Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 8 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 2+ pts: 89%; Shah, 5+ pts: 58%; Shah, 8+ pts: 23%; Shah, 11+ pts: 20%; Shah, 14+ pts: 13%; Shah, 17+ pts: 5.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.