Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
Trade ↗Shah, 1+ pts is favored at 77% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 7 markets.
- Shah, 1+ pts: 77% (24h change -6%)
- Shah, 2+ pts: 61% (24h change -12%)
- Shah, 5+ pts: 39% (24h change -21%)
- Shah, 8+ pts: 18% (24h change -14%)
- Shah, 11+ pts: 9.9% (24h change -6.1%)
- Shah, 14+ pts: 7.6% (24h change -0.9%)
- Shah, 17+ pts: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
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About this market
Market question: Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 1+ pts is favored at 77% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 1+ pts: 77%; Shah, 2+ pts: 61%; Shah, 5+ pts: 39%; Shah, 8+ pts: 18%; Shah, 11+ pts: 9.9%; Shah, 14+ pts: 7.6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.