Powered by KalshiHow long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 2 years·33%(-31%)Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?·Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?·52%(+27%)Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?·Before Jul 1, 2026·58%(+24%)Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?·Peter Obi·3.1%(-23.9%)SC-06 House winner?·Republican party·53%(+17%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Joe Biden·17%(+15%)Will ICE change its name in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·47%(+15%)Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?·Howard Lutnick·27%(+13%)How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?·Above 64·34%(-13%)US-Iran nuclear deal?·Before 2028·78%(+13%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.1%(-12.9%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·13%(-12%)Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?·Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?·34%(-12%)What countries will Trump visit in 2026?·Germany·30%(-12%)Maine Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·23%(+11%)

Powered by KalshiHow long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 2 years·33%(-31%)Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?·Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?·52%(+27%)Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?·Before Jul 1, 2026·58%(+24%)Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?·Peter Obi·3.1%(-23.9%)SC-06 House winner?·Republican party·53%(+17%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Joe Biden·17%(+15%)Will ICE change its name in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·47%(+15%)Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?·Howard Lutnick·27%(+13%)How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?·Above 64·34%(-13%)US-Iran nuclear deal?·Before 2028·78%(+13%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.1%(-12.9%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·13%(-12%)Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?·Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?·34%(-12%)What countries will Trump visit in 2026?·Germany·30%(-12%)Maine Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·23%(+11%)

other3 marketsLIVE

Arizona's 1st District margin of victory

Odds history

Loading chart data...

All options

Republicans, 1+ pts

21%

—

0

Republicans, 4+ pts

11%

—

67

Republicans, 7+ pts

7.5%

—

664