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Live market summary

Republicans, 1+ pts is favored at 68% as of 3 Sep 2026, 16:33 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Republicans, 1+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 7+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 10+ pts: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 16+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 19+ pts: 5.8% (24h change 0%)
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Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

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Market question: Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory?

Republicans, 1+ pts is favored at 68% as of 3 Sep 2026, 16:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory?

Republicans, 1+ pts: 68%; Republicans, 7+ pts: 43%; Republicans, 10+ pts: 34%; Republicans, 16+ pts: 15%; Republicans, 19+ pts: 5.8%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.