Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 24 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC across 7 markets.
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 92.5% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 16+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 22+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 25+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 28+ pts: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 24 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 4+ pts: 92.5%; Democrats, 16+ pts: 56%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 56%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 51%; Democrats, 22+ pts: 37%; Democrats, 25+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.