Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Stanton, 4+ pts is favored at 90.5% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC across 8 markets.
- Stanton, 4+ pts: 90.5% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 10+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 16+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 13+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 19+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 22+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 25+ pts: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Stanton, 28+ pts: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?
Stanton, 4+ pts is favored at 90.5% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?
Stanton, 4+ pts: 90.5%; Stanton, 10+ pts: 82%; Stanton, 16+ pts: 56%; Stanton, 13+ pts: 56%; Stanton, 19+ pts: 51%; Stanton, 22+ pts: 37%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.