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Arizona's 5th District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Lamb, 5+ pts is favored at 70% as of 4 Nov 2026, 03:01 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Lamb, 5+ pts: 70% (24h change -3%)
  • Lamb, 2+ pts: 67% (24h change -11%)
  • Lamb, 8+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Lamb, 11+ pts: 47% (24h change -1%)
  • Lamb, 14+ pts: 34% (24h change +1%)
  • Lamb, 20+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Lamb, 17+ pts: 22% (24h change -1%)
  • Lamb, 23+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Lamb, 26+ pts: 9.5% (24h change +5.5%)

All options

Lamb, 2+ pts

67%
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Lamb, 26+ pts

9.5%
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About this market

Market question: Arizona's 5th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona's 5th District margin of victory?

Lamb, 5+ pts is favored at 70% as of 4 Nov 2026, 03:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona's 5th District margin of victory?

Lamb, 5+ pts: 70%; Lamb, 2+ pts: 67%; Lamb, 8+ pts: 64%; Lamb, 11+ pts: 47%; Lamb, 14+ pts: 34%; Lamb, 20+ pts: 24%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.