Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Mendoza, 1+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 6 markets.
- Mendoza, 1+ pts: 85% (24h change +5%)
- Mendoza, 4+ pts: 59% (24h change +56.9%)
- Mendoza, 7+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Mendoza, 10+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Mendoza, 13+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Mendoza, 16+ pts: 7.5% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 6th District margin of victory?
Mendoza, 1+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 6th District margin of victory?
Mendoza, 1+ pts: 85%; Mendoza, 4+ pts: 59%; Mendoza, 7+ pts: 41%; Mendoza, 10+ pts: 30%; Mendoza, 13+ pts: 20%; Mendoza, 16+ pts: 7.5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.