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Arizona's 6th District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Mendoza, 1+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Mendoza, 1+ pts: 85% (24h change +5%)
  • Mendoza, 4+ pts: 59% (24h change +56.9%)
  • Mendoza, 7+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Mendoza, 10+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Mendoza, 13+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Mendoza, 16+ pts: 7.5% (24h change 0%)

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Mendoza, 4+ pts

59%
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About this market

Market question: Arizona's 6th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona's 6th District margin of victory?

Mendoza, 1+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona's 6th District margin of victory?

Mendoza, 1+ pts: 85%; Mendoza, 4+ pts: 59%; Mendoza, 7+ pts: 41%; Mendoza, 10+ pts: 30%; Mendoza, 13+ pts: 20%; Mendoza, 16+ pts: 7.5%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.