Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 82% as of 12 Sep 2026, 15:36 UTC across 6 markets.
- Democrats, 2+ pts: 82% (24h change +3%)
- Democrats, 5+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 8+ pts: 42% (24h change +4%)
- Democrats, 11+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 14+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 17+ pts: 7.8% (24h change 0%)
Arizona Governor margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Arizona Governor margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 82% as of 12 Sep 2026, 15:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts: 82%; Democrats, 5+ pts: 64%; Democrats, 8+ pts: 42%; Democrats, 11+ pts: 24%; Democrats, 14+ pts: 13%; Democrats, 17+ pts: 7.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.