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Arizona Governor margin of victory

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Live market summary

Hobbs, 2+ pts is favored at 85% as of 27 Oct 2026, 17:35 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Hobbs, 2+ pts: 85% (24h change -2%)
  • Hobbs, 5+ pts: 67% (24h change +1%)
  • Hobbs, 8+ pts: 50% (24h change +8%)
  • Hobbs, 11+ pts: 30% (24h change +8%)
  • Hobbs, 14+ pts: 13% (24h change -1%)
  • Hobbs, 17+ pts: 8.3% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Arizona Governor margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona Governor margin of victory?

Hobbs, 2+ pts is favored at 85% as of 27 Oct 2026, 17:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona Governor margin of victory?

Hobbs, 2+ pts: 85%; Hobbs, 5+ pts: 67%; Hobbs, 8+ pts: 50%; Hobbs, 11+ pts: 30%; Hobbs, 14+ pts: 13%; Hobbs, 17+ pts: 8.3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.