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Powered by KalshiWho will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·88%(+80%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·93.4%(+70.4%)What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?·Argentina·27%(-62%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·94.2%(+60.2%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·69%(+52%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place·Ronaldo Caiado·65%(+46%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Cassidy Hutchinson·61%(+46%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 40·72%(+44%)Who will be the next DNC Chair?·David Hogg·49%(+44%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 38·54%(-43%)Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?·Eric Barlow·72%(+39%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 10·83%(+37%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·63%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·24%(-36%)Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?·Before Jan 1, 2027·11%(-35%)
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Summary

Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 65% as of 24 Jul 2026, 12:34 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 2+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 14+ pts: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 9% (24h change 0%)
governor6 marketsLIVE

Arizona Governor margin of victory

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