Live market summary
Democrats, 20+ pts is favored at 60% as of 11 Sep 2026, 05:35 UTC across 1 market.
- Democrats, 20+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
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California's 1st District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: California's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 20+ pts is favored at 60% as of 11 Sep 2026, 05:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 20+ pts: 60%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.