California's 23rd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Obernolte, 8+ pts is favored at 69% as of 26 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- Obernolte, 8+ pts: 69% (24h change 0%)
- Obernolte, 14+ pts: 40% (24h change -4%)
- Obernolte, 17+ pts: 31% (24h change -4%)
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About this market
Market question: California's 23rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 23rd District margin of victory?
Obernolte, 8+ pts is favored at 69% as of 26 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 23rd District margin of victory?
Obernolte, 8+ pts: 69%; Obernolte, 14+ pts: 40%; Obernolte, 17+ pts: 31%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.