Carbajal, 23+ pts is favored at 58% as of 6 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC across 4 markets.
- Carbajal, 23+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Carbajal, 29+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Carbajal, 35+ pts: 11% (24h change -13%)
- Carbajal, 38+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
California's 24th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: California's 24th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 24th District margin of victory?
Carbajal, 23+ pts is favored at 58% as of 6 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 24th District margin of victory?
Carbajal, 23+ pts: 58%; Carbajal, 29+ pts: 56%; Carbajal, 35+ pts: 11%; Carbajal, 38+ pts: 11%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.