California's 45th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Tran, 10+ pts is favored at 62% as of 30 Oct 2026, 16:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Tran, 10+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Tran, 13+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
- Tran, 16+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
- Tran, 25+ pts: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
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About this market
Market question: California's 45th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 45th District margin of victory?
Tran, 10+ pts is favored at 62% as of 30 Oct 2026, 16:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 45th District margin of victory?
Tran, 10+ pts: 62%; Tran, 13+ pts: 51%; Tran, 16+ pts: 32%; Tran, 25+ pts: 9.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.