Democrats, 12+ pts is favored at 86% as of 9 Oct 2026, 12:36 UTC across 7 markets.
- Democrats, 12+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 15+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 18+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 24+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 27+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 30+ pts: 19% (24h change +2%)
California Governor margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: California Governor margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 12+ pts is favored at 86% as of 9 Oct 2026, 12:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 12+ pts: 86%; Democrats, 15+ pts: 68%; Democrats, 18+ pts: 64%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 50%; Democrats, 24+ pts: 38%; Democrats, 27+ pts: 24%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.