California Governor margin of victory
Trade ↗Democrats, 18+ pts is favored at 97.6% as of 1 Nov 2026, 06:36 UTC across 10 markets.
- Democrats, 18+ pts: 97.6% (24h change +18.6%)
- Democrats, 15+ pts: 91.2% (24h change +0.1%)
- Democrats, 9+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 12+ pts: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 41% (24h change -22%)
- Democrats, 24+ pts: 40% (24h change -15%)
- Democrats, 27+ pts: 32% (24h change -3%)
- Democrats, 30+ pts: 27% (24h change +11%)
- Democrats, 33+ pts: 11% (24h change +1.5%)
- Democrats, 36+ pts: 2.4% (24h change -7.3%)
About this market
Market question: California Governor margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 18+ pts is favored at 97.6% as of 1 Nov 2026, 06:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 18+ pts: 97.6%; Democrats, 15+ pts: 91.2%; Democrats, 9+ pts: 86%; Democrats, 12+ pts: 84%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 41%; Democrats, 24+ pts: 40%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.