Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 2 years
·
33%
(-31%)
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
·
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
·
52%
(+27%)
Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
58%
(+24%)
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?
·
Peter Obi
·
3.1%
(-23.9%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
53%
(+17%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Joe Biden
·
17%
(+15%)
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
47%
(+15%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Howard Lutnick
·
27%
(+13%)
How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?
·
Above 64
·
34%
(-13%)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
·
Before 2028
·
78%
(+13%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
7.1%
(-12.9%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Anthony Fauci
·
13%
(-12%)
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
·
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
·
34%
(-12%)
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
·
Germany
·
30%
(-12%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
23%
(+11%)
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Kalshi
How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 2 years
·
33%
(-31%)
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
·
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
·
52%
(+27%)
Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
58%
(+24%)
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?
·
Peter Obi
·
3.1%
(-23.9%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
53%
(+17%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Joe Biden
·
17%
(+15%)
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
47%
(+15%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Howard Lutnick
·
27%
(+13%)
How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?
·
Above 64
·
34%
(-13%)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
·
Before 2028
·
78%
(+13%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
7.1%
(-12.9%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Anthony Fauci
·
13%
(-12%)
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
·
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
·
34%
(-12%)
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
·
Germany
·
30%
(-12%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
23%
(+11%)
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Democrats, 3+ pts
25
%
—
1,607
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Democrats, 6+ pts
14
%
—
1,042
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