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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·John Healey·99%(+98%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Lesil McGuire·90%(+89%)São Toméan presidential election winner?·Miques João Bonfim·1%(-89%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 8·99%(+87%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 0·99%(+84%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Rachel Reeves·3%(-66%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·1%(-65%)Texas's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 2+ pts·38%(-59.4%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Nancy Mace·2%(-54%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥55%·51%(+44%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·8·14%(-40%)Ottawa mayoral election winner?·Mark Sutcliffe·38%(-37%)Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(+36%)
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Summary

Republicans, 12+ pts is favored at 78% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 12+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 77% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 69% (24h change 0%)
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Florida's 6th District margin of victory

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