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Powered by KalshiWho will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Lisa Nandy·95%(+92%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·32%(-62%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·5%(-59%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·13%(-58%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·5%(-57%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·14%(-48%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-44%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·96%(+36%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·58%(-32%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Russell Fry·57%(-31%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·94%(+28%)Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?·Senate·86%(+26%)
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Summary

Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 88% as of 12 Jul 2026, 04:33 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 2+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 14+ pts: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 20+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
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Florida's 23rd District margin of victory

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