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Powered by KalshiHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?·Above 41,000·97%(+92%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Leonard Glenn Francis·13%(-86%)How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?·Above 16,000·94%(+85%)Clacton by-election: 3rd place·Rejoin EU·99%(+83%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥40%·1%(-80%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·10%(-60%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·77%(+59%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 25%·99%(+58%)Who will Trump pardon?·Steve Bannon·29%(-57%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·24%(-53%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·57%(+51.2%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·87%(+47%)
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Summary

Republicans, 3+ pts is favored at 74% as of 14 Aug 2026, 15:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 3+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 6+ pts: 42% (24h change -2%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 12+ pts: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 18+ pts: 6% (24h change 0%)
governor6 marketsLIVE

Florida Governor margin of victory

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