Case, 30+ pts is favored at 93.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Case, 30+ pts: 93.4% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 36+ pts: 85% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 33+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 39+ pts: 63% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 45+ pts: 52% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 54+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory?
Case, 30+ pts is favored at 93.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory?
Case, 30+ pts: 93.4%; Case, 36+ pts: 85%; Case, 33+ pts: 76%; Case, 39+ pts: 63%; Case, 45+ pts: 52%; Case, 54+ pts: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.