Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
Trade ↗Case, 30+ pts is favored at 92.4% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC across 8 markets.
- Case, 30+ pts: 92.4% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 36+ pts: 85% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 33+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 39+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 42+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 45+ pts: 48% (24h change +6%)
- Case, 48+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Case, 54+ pts: 3.5% (24h change -4.5%)
About this market
Market question: Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory?
Case, 30+ pts is favored at 92.4% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory?
Case, 30+ pts: 92.4%; Case, 36+ pts: 85%; Case, 33+ pts: 76%; Case, 39+ pts: 67%; Case, 42+ pts: 64%; Case, 45+ pts: 48%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.