Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Tokuda, 20+ pts is favored at 92.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC across 9 markets.
- Tokuda, 20+ pts: 92.9% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 23+ pts: 90.1% (24h change +24.1%)
- Tokuda, 26+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 29+ pts: 69% (24h change -14%)
- Tokuda, 32+ pts: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 35+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 41+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 44+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Tokuda, 38+ pts: 4.8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory?
Tokuda, 20+ pts is favored at 92.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory?
Tokuda, 20+ pts: 92.9%; Tokuda, 23+ pts: 90.1%; Tokuda, 26+ pts: 80%; Tokuda, 29+ pts: 69%; Tokuda, 32+ pts: 61%; Tokuda, 35+ pts: 45%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.